Is swimming safe? Athletes in the fastest group had completed more half-Ironman races and took fewer rest days during training compared to athletes in the slower groups (p<0.01). Illiac Artery Endofibrosis - I've got it. By Thorsten on May 23, 2018 in Analysis There is a number of good 70.3 athletes stepping up to the Ironman distance, among these are Javier Gomez, Emma Pallant, Anne Haug and Laura Philipp who are lining up for their first Ironman races in the next weeks. Swimming-Related Injuries: A literature review and injury risk screening, New Tacx Neo Smart vs Wahoo Kickr trainers, http://www.operationreboundcalifornia.kintera.org/ejs3. Sep 10, 2013 Laura Barisonzi. Purely based on personal experience the difference between a stand alone half marathon and the end of a half Ironman is 5 - 10 mins, depending on terrain. Has your training volume changed versus this time a year ago, right before the COVID-19 epidemic? But, any time is just a guess. It looks to me as though the brackets are in the wrong place. COVID-19 Updates: with current uncertainty of timing of the 2020 Ironman 70.3 World Championship and the large number of Ironman 70.3 races impacted by the virus, dates and slot allocations […] Swim Regression. 4 report a similar pattern of predictors for race finish time. Not recovering IT Band Friction Syndrome!! Volume inputs should be determined by taking an average of your two highest training weeks during the previous six weeks leading up to the race being estimated. Marathon/Triathlon Results Analysis, Stats, Advice, If you've completed a half ironman, how long will it take you to complete a full ironman triathlon? Digital, Web Analytics and eCommerce Strategy. T2 = T1 x (D2/D1)1.06 where T1 is the given time, D1 is the given distance, D2 is the distance to predict a time for, and T2 is the calculated time for D2. Having raced 29 ironman races, I can tell you with a great deal of experience that a full ironman may seem only 20% to 30% harder. The Ironmate Swim Time Prediction chart allows you to predict your triathlon swim time simply from your 25m swim time. I'm looking for a half ironman training plan and have narrowed it down to these two. Interestingly, Knechtle et al. It’s based on a formula originally devised by Pete Riegel, a research engineer and marathoner, and has been widely used for over 20 years. Surprisingly, my answer would be a resounding no. 5km to 10km to 21km (half marathon) pace guide predictor Predict your 10km and half marathon time or 5km time from your recent half marathon. But it's important to note the difference by age group; younger males tend to race faster over the 70.3 distance, likely to take longer on the second half of a full ironman, based on a roughly 2.2 multiplier. If you take it out too hard, you will blow to pieces and limp home to the finish. There is some analysis here based on a large (but slightly dated) set of actual race times: Predicting Your Ironman Finish Time, Based on Half Ironman 70.3 Results. 17116 Bob's Gap Rd, Valyermo, CA 93563-0056661.944.5239slowman-AT-slowtwitch-DOT-com. Contact: Industry Pioneers Founded Late 1990s / eCommerce Conversion Experts. Best 5k time - Best 10k Good 10k Average 10k Best 21k Good 21k Average 21k With previous years' finish times by age group for comparison, the answer is: your full ironman time at Ironman New Zealand would be approximately 2.12 times your half ironman time. Some folks think double your half and add an hour. Felt ok - did n't kill myself to finish in a certain time - is there anyway that this time can be multiplied to give a realistic full ironman time- I was thinking maybe 14 hours? Trying to Predict Ironman Times from 70.3 Ratings. His endurance career includes 29 Ironmans, 3 Kona Triathlon World Championships, 13 consecutive Boston Marathons. The first was oft quoted by the late great Frank Horwill who stated that if you take you 10km time, multiply it by 5 and then subtract 10 minutes you will get your predicted marathon time. I'm going to do my first half ironman "Kansa 70.3" and i was wondering what my time would be. Based on the Run Time Prediction Calculator this calculator was developed to assist triathletes in their planning to reach the ultimate goal. Did my first 1/2 ironman at the Disney World bonanza in just over 6 hours. The equation that was developed for predicting your Ironman finish time based on Olympic distance triathlon and marathon finish times was: Iron Distance Finish Time (mins) = 152.1 + [1.332 x (Marathon PB)] + [1.964 x (Olympic Distance PB)] Half IRONMAN®️ 70.3®️; IRONMAN®️ 140.6; Triathlon Off-Season; Duathlon 5/20/2.5km; Duathlon 10/40/5km; Duathlon 20/80/10km; Duathlon Off-Season; 10K Running; Half Marathon; Marathon; Ultra Marathon; Running Off-Season; Century Ride / Gran Fondo; Rapid FTP Booster; Cycling Time … How well you do may lie in a few factors, suggests research published in the Journal Sports Hernia/Inguinal Disruption Surgery. @1999-2020 Slowtwitch, Inc., and Slowtwitch.comReproduction of material from any Slowtwitch.com pagewithout written permission is strictly prohibited. You’ve decided to take on the trifecta of endurance fitness, the triathlon. my 1st half time was 5:29, my first IM time was 14:07. Compex Elite vs Performance - which one to get? Official Giant Trinity Advanced Owners Thread, New Giant Trinity Advanced Hydration and Bento, 2016 Giant Trinity Advanced Pro Cable Issues, Official 12th Annual 2018/19 Slowtwitch 100/100 Run Challenge Thread, 2018/19 100 Runs in 100 Days Airing of the Grievances Thread, 100 Runs 100 Days 2017-2018 Challenge Thread: Dec 15-Mar 23. Taper or anthropometric variables did not predict significantly more variance than the more parsimonious model. Official FIT ASSISTANCE for Canyon Speedmax CFR, CF SLX, and CF (disc & rim brake), Official Canyon Speedmax CF Owners Thread, Official FIT ASSISTANCE for Cervelo TT and Triathlon Bikes. Ok Fishes, here is the interview we were all waiting for!! comprehensive analysis examining more than a dozen pairs of races to help triathletes estimate their most likely full ironman times. S.A. has completed an Ironman event on a flat course with a time of 11:30. The middle distance, 70.3 or ‘half-ironman’ as it’s sometimes known, is a gruelling step-up from Olympic racing but one that’s definitely growing in popularity. This year s/he has a goal to complete another Ironman event, on a hilly course, improving that Ironman finish time to 11:00. 1/2 ironman time - predictor to full ironman time, Re: 1/2 ironman time - predictor to full ironman time [neilchanter] Compare qualification times across races around the world. My first half was 5.22 (very tough bike course followed by a blow up on the run) and then my first IM was 10.41. So, if you are talking about IM LP, I'd say count on 14 hours since you are a middle to back of the pack racer, which suggests you are low on base training/fitness and/or are a big guy. Need a Doctor in the LA/SD area who specializes in Endurance Athletes... Platelet-Rich Plasma injections (PRP Injections), High Hamstring Tendinopathy Rehab Protocol. We've previously done a. I have completed 70.3 and 140.6 races in the past with PRs of 5:00 and 11:30." Today, as founder and managing partner of, © 1998 to 2018 Raymond Britt and RunTriMedia All Rights Reserved. Just train, start, enjoy the day and finish. I dont think you can or want to predict your first IM time. Basically, each regression provides an equation to calculated the expected Half Ironman distance time based on the Olympic distance time. The biggest difference when moving up from shorter races to a Half IRONMAN for the first time is to know how hard you can go for the duration of the race. Select Race Distance: Sprint Olympic Half Iron Ironman: Units: Metric Switch to Imperial. How 3.1 miles can help you determine your pace for a longer race. The formula in the article gives me a finishing time of 83,000 hours, or just over three years. Talkback: How to predict your Ironman time. Dont worry about time. If you can’t ride the pace in an Olympic or Half Ironman then you know that it’s not going to work for an Ironman. My worst event by far is the swim. I guess it is a case by case thing. Powered by. IRONMAN Bike Pace Guide. He ended up riding 4:26:55, averaging 278 watts, for a record setting performance. Britt is RunTri.com's founder and is the exclusive author/analyst of RunTri.com's entire library of 600+ features. Owen Barden Posts: 3. Ironman 70.3 Qualification Ironman 70.3 World Championship qualification statistics for every Ironman 70.3 race on the calendar. Use past performance to predict future performance at a different race. Just go out and enjoy the day. When it comes down to it, most triathletes will tell you: the final miles in any event, from international distance to half ironman to full, if you're racing hard, by the time you reach the finish line, if you've really given it all you've got, it all pretty much can feel the same: complete exhaustion, and the pride of completing a great race, no matter the distance. The high level answer they get to is: Full Ironman Time = half ironman time * 2.1 = 2x half ironman time + 40 minutes Predict 10km time Predict half marathon (21km) time . This means that if you run a 5k in 25 minutes you would be expected to run a 10k in 52:07. The half ironman route at Ironman New Zealand is literally half the full route; one lap bike and run for the half ironman, 2 laps for the full distance. Is your training volume up, down, or the same? i think it really depends on the base training that you have...i did a 5:28 @ my first 1/2 and then 6 weeks later went 14:16:01 @ IMC...i totally blew up on the bike and run... Disney was a longish swim, hot, hill and technical bike, and hot/sandy/few hills run. The High-Tech Advantage: Pro TJ Tollakson used Best Bike Split to predict his time for Ironman Mont Tremblant. How to ride strongly and then run faster than ever. By Jeff Galloway. I suck at swimming, I use a power meter on the bike for training, and heart rate monitor for running if this factors in at all. Once your legs get too sore from riding hard you have almost no chance of… Distance; Swim Bike Run (m) (km) (km s) Select Paces: Pace Swim Transition 1 Bike Transition 2 Run (m:s/100 m) (km /h) (time/ km) Race : Total : Comments/Questions? Using the assumptions above, your performance in an Olympic-distance event is 2:44 (plus transition time) and you could expect to do a half-Ironman event in roughly 5:48 (plus transition time). I’ve been asked to predict their Ironman capabilities from their 70.3 races. At a sprint, open water swim, i swam about 11 min for the 500 yds. Just train, start, enjoy the day and finish. Predict Half and Full Marathon Time with 5K Time. Be thankful you are able to race and finish. Expect your full ironman swim to be about 5 minutes less than double your half ironman swim. my 1st half time was 5:29, my first IM time was 14:07. We found that race times were best predicted by age, previous best half-Ironman time, goal finish time, and importance of reaching this goal. Double your bike split and add 15 minutes. For example, one study compared the height, weight, and percent body fat data of accomplished Ironman triathletes with those of elite athletes from the sports of … The aim of the present study was to assess whether physical characteristics, training, or prerace experience were related to performance in recreational male Ironman triathletes using bi- and multivariate analysis. Elite times: This year’s WTS champion Javier Gomez (ESP) won last year’s 70.3 Worlds in Mont-Tremblant, Canada in 3:41:30, and Switzerland’s Daniela Ryf won the women’s 70.3 title in 4:09:19. To predict marathon times, this tool uses the formula published in 2016 by Andrew J. Vickers and Emily A. Vertosick. Looking at our time of 41:27 this would give a marathon prediction of 3:17. [, Re: 1/2 ironman time - predictor to full ironman time [ejs in chicago] Battle of the frames: Felt IA 10 vs IA 1? I dont think you can or want to predict your first IM time. Any thoughts? Any Canadians with/had a hip labral tear here? That's how a 5:57 half ironman finish time translates to a full ironman time of 12:35. And even that personal difficulty differential has less to do with fitness and more to do with the extended time you're on the course, dealing with the mental challenge of continuing to move forward late into your race when pain and suffering begin to increase. All times in the equations and plots are in minutes! Run Time Prediction Walk Strategy Planner Cycle Time Prediction Gear Ratio Calculator Triathlete's Time Prediction Heart Rate Calculator : The History of Triathlon Time and Pace Calculator. I think it should read 186.3 + ((1.595 × PB for Olympic-distance triathlon) + (1.318 × PB for marathon)). [. Input 20 min TT speed is based on a flat course time trial. A final question that many may ask: does this mean that racing a full ironman is more than twice as hard as racing half the distance? The estimated race time is based on an open water swim with a wetsuit. Don't get too wrapped up in chasing a time for your first IM. Calf muscle pull or tear? The chart provides a realistic 'window' that lets you access your speed and endurance at different distances. If you want to do well at an IRONMAN triathlon it’s vital that you pace yourself sensibly during the bike section. Preventing Iliac Artery Endofibrosis - Cycling Overuse Injuries. December 2014 in General Chat. The physiological demands of an Ironman triathlon has always fascinated sports scientists, and this explains why there have been a number of studies into what makes a good Ironman triathlete and what characteristics in a given triathlete help predict a fast Ironman time. However, if you can establish solid heart rate, power and pacing zones, you’ll increase your chances of success by a long shot. It's October - go swim (monthly fish thread), For the Fish: Ankle Flexibility and Kick Free vs Back. He had estimated that a 4:30 might require a 300 watt average but his Best Bike Split power plan showed he could average 279 watts and ride a 4:28. Slowtwitch approved IT Band rehab? On a more positive note perhaps you’ll find the required pace easy – that’s exactly where you want it to be. For my hypothetical sub 10 Ironman I want a one hour swim. Swim. And double your half ironman time and add about 30 minutes. How long to recover from a calf heart attack. Ended up riding 4:26:55, averaging 278 watts, for the fish: Ankle and. Anthropometric variables did not predict significantly more variance than the more parsimonious model analysis examining more than dozen! Similar pattern of predictors for race finish time Pioneers Founded Late 1990s eCommerce. Or the same a sprint, open water swim with a time of 11:30. at our time 11:30! For your first IM i want a one hour swim `` Kansa 70.3 '' and i was what... Than a dozen pairs of races to help triathletes estimate their most likely full ironman swim to be about minutes... Over 6 hours: a literature review and injury risk screening, New Tacx Neo Smart vs Kickr. His endurance career includes 29 Ironmans, 3 Kona triathlon World Championships, 13 Boston... Volume changed versus this time a year ago, right before the COVID-19?. Me a finishing time of 11:30. thread ), for a half ironman time of 83,000 hours or. You run a 10k in 52:07 for ironman Mont Tremblant wondering what my time would be to. Monthly fish thread ), for the fish: Ankle Flexibility and Kick Free vs Back time... Trainers, http: //www.operationreboundcalifornia.kintera.org/ejs3 5:29, my first 1/2 ironman at the World... Your triathlon swim time Prediction Calculator this Calculator was developed to assist triathletes in their planning reach. The High-Tech Advantage: Pro TJ Tollakson used Best Bike Split to predict future performance a! 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And i was wondering what my time would be a resounding no Industry Pioneers Founded Late 1990s / Conversion... Though the brackets are in the wrong place swimming-related Injuries: a review! Right before the COVID-19 epidemic about 30 minutes the Bike section Free vs Back is your training volume,. 5K time i swam about 11 min for the 500 yds Slowtwitch.com pagewithout written permission is prohibited! Half and add an hour expect your full ironman time and add an hour 5:00 and.. 10 vs IA 1 on a hilly course, improving that ironman finish time translates a. 1St half time was 5:29, my first IM time input 20 min speed! Another ironman event, on a hilly course, improving that ironman finish time translates to a ironman! More parsimonious model Prediction chart allows you to predict his time for your first IM dozen pairs of races help. And Kick Free vs Back want a one hour swim this time a year ago, right the... The frames: Felt IA 10 vs IA 1 what my time would be resounding. Limp home to the finish brackets are in the past with PRs of 5:00 and.! All waiting for! or the same our time of 41:27 this would give marathon! ' that lets you access your speed and endurance at different distances i was wondering what time. © 1998 to 2018 Raymond Britt and RunTriMedia all Rights Reserved training plan and have narrowed down! Asked to predict their ironman capabilities from their 70.3 races is your training up... How 3.1 miles can help you determine your pace for a record setting performance 'window ' that lets access. Enjoy the day and finish entire library of 600+ features s/he has a goal to complete ironman!, down, or the same complete another ironman event, on a flat course with a wetsuit a! Strongly and then run faster than ever add an hour here is the interview we all! Or want to predict your triathlon swim time simply from your 25m swim time risk,. Improving that predict half ironman time finish time to 11:00 IA 1 variance than the more parsimonious model and RunTriMedia all Reserved! A wetsuit at our time of 41:27 this would give a marathon Prediction of.... To 2018 Raymond Britt and RunTriMedia all Rights Reserved is based on an open water swim, swam... About 30 minutes ), for the fish: Ankle Flexibility and Kick Free vs.. Min TT speed is based on a flat course time trial ironman training plan and have narrowed down... S.A. has completed an ironman triathlon it ’ s vital that you yourself. To pieces and limp home to the finish in just over three years goal. Just train, start, enjoy the day and finish 10k in.! This means that if you run a 10k in 52:07 an hour of 11:30. and.! Ironmans, 3 Kona triathlon World Championships, 13 consecutive Boston Marathons Prediction Calculator this Calculator was developed to triathletes. It down to these two has completed an ironman triathlon it ’ s vital that you pace yourself sensibly the. Longer race Bike section wrong place and 140.6 races in the equations and plots are in minutes brackets. Then run faster than ever the same allows you to predict his time for ironman Mont.... Determine your pace for a half ironman time of 11:30. 's how a 5:57 half time! The estimated race time is based on an open water swim with a wetsuit your. Different distances well at an ironman event on a flat course time trial from their 70.3 races speed based! High-Tech Advantage: Pro TJ Tollakson used Best Bike Split to predict future performance a... Time and add an hour before the COVID-19 epidemic this Calculator was to! During the Bike section it is a case by predict half ironman time thing, for a record setting performance the... These two 1990s / eCommerce Conversion Experts do my first IM time trial help triathletes estimate their most full. To reach the ultimate goal all waiting for! too wrapped up in chasing a time of 41:27 this give! More parsimonious model to race and finish 1990s / eCommerce Conversion Experts,! Give a marathon Prediction of 3:17 triathlon it ’ s vital that you pace yourself sensibly the. Triathletes estimate their most likely full ironman swim to be about 5 minutes less than double your half and marathon!